Markets Pause as Investors Eye U.S. Jobs and Fed Signals

2024-08-21 | Current Affairs ,Fed Rate Cut ,Federal Reserves ,Jerome Powell ,Jobs Data

Today’s News

Asian markets saw a pullback on Wednesday as the recent strong rebound in global stocks took a breather. Investors turned cautious, focusing on upcoming U.S. economic data and central bank speeches expected to bolster the case for interest rate cuts. 

Investors await Wednesday's preliminary revisions to U.S. labor data, a key factor influencing market sentiment and potential interest rate cuts. 

Image Source: BBC
Investors await Wednesday’s preliminary revisions to U.S. labor data, a key factor influencing market sentiment and potential interest rate cuts. 
Image Source: BBC 

The S&P 500 ended its eight-day winning streak with a 0.2% drop, while MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell by 0.6%. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index slumped 1.4%, driven by an 11% plunge in JD.com shares following reports that Walmart plans to sell its significant stake in the company. 

Japan’s Nikkei opened down 1%, as its recovery from an early August collapse hit resistance around the 38,000 level, with further gains in the yen weighing on sentiment. 

“The sell-off itself has largely corrected, and the recession scare has given way to soft landing hopes again,” said Bank of Singapore analyst Moh Siong Sim. “But now we are back to square one, and the market needs validation before it can be more relaxed, and that validation must come from data.” 

Later on Wednesday, revisions to U.S. labor data are expected, with a significant downward adjustment anticipated, which could support the case for interest rate cuts. Additionally, purchasing managers’ index surveys for the U.S. and global markets are due on Thursday. 

The dollar’s recent decline has driven gold prices to near-record highs and pushed the yen to 145.48 per dollar, a 1.6% gain for the week so far and about 11% higher than last month’s 38-year low. The euro also strengthened, reaching its highest level since early December at USD 1.1130. 

Interest rate futures indicate a 25 basis point U.S. rate cut next month, with a possibility of a larger 50 basis point cut. “It is likely that the current softer tone of the greenback stems mostly from expectations that easier Fed policy is increasingly imminent,” said Rabobank strategist Jane Foley. 

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is set to speak at the Jackson Hole symposium on Friday, a key event for market watchers. Meanwhile, the Australian and New Zealand dollars held onto recent gains. 

Other News

Oil Prices Drop Amid Rising U.S. Crude Stocks 

Oil prices dipped as U.S. crude inventories grew and tensions in the Middle East appeared to ease. Brent and WTI futures fell slightly, with market eyes on upcoming official U.S. inventory data and economic challenges in China. 

Asia Markets Pause Ahead of Rate Decisions 

Asian markets await interest rate decisions in Thailand and Indonesia, with investors focusing on U.S. Fed Chair Powell’s upcoming speech. Emerging market currencies strengthened amid a weaker dollar. 

Wells Fargo Sells Mortgage Servicing Unit to Trimont 

Wells Fargo will sell its non-agency Commercial Mortgage Servicing business to Trimont, making Trimont the largest U.S. servicer of securitized commercial real estate debt. The deal, expected to close in early 2025. 


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